Fig. 1 Median home prices
Fig. 2 Monthly mortgage payment
Fig. 3 Average american salary estimate
Fig. 4 Mortgage percentage salary after taxes
Result
Compared to the South/Midwest, Coastal & densely populated areas are increasingly unaffordable to average Americans due to gentrification, location and disproportionate pay increase compared to housing prices.

Model Type: Linear Regression
Number of Regressions Calculated: ~3,140
Country: United States
PopulationBinSize: County
Analysis Breakup: Per County
Salary Value Metric Calculation: Average salary before tax of 2021
Home Value Metric Calculation: Median home prices of Q2 2021
Mortgage Payment Metric Calculation: Per monthly mortgage payment of Q2 2021
Affordability Metric Calculation: % of mortgage payments with respect to average salary by respective county.

Accepted on
March 9, 2024
(see peer reviews)
Endorsed by
This needs updates to CMS. Plan to create a new CMS for claims, then pull claim items from there. This will allow you to create a new multi-field reference inside article CMS (limit 5). This is kind of stupid, revisit CMS limits to see if can avoid this.
Contributing Authors
Micropub

In-depth analysis at a county-level showed disproportionate housing prices across America, upon conducting comparative analysis with the median take-away salary per county, patterns began to emerge. Gentrification and urbanization have lead overpopulation in coastal areas, leading to a competitive and oversaturated job market, this has led to a disproportionate spike in housing prices compared to salary which has plateaued in comparison.

Other contributing factors include largely state or privately owned land; boosting home prices, large tourist income (seasonal revenue), or extremely high tax rates. Notable examples of “unaffordable” counties include Nantucket, Brooklyn, Central California.

On the other hand, counties in the Midwest and south have considerably low population density, leaving large swathes of land unoccupied. It is unsurprising remote locations have the most affordable homes, expenses would stay relatively low for the same reasons listed above, just the opposite effect.

Furthermore, there were some interesting abnormalities to note. Southern states with jobs in the mining and oil industries offered very high salaries in areas with minimal expenses and low rental costs. This led to certain “bubble” counties where the median take-home salary was significantly higher compared to home prices, causing an inverse of the effect on major urban counties.

A few notable statistics from the analysis and data set are included below for reference.

List of the counties with the highest monthly mortgage payment of Q2 2021:

1. New York County, New York: $4,656
2. Nantucket County, Massachusetts: $4,625
3. San Mateo County, California: $4,535
4. Santa Clara County, California: $4,505
5. San Francisco County, California: $4,476

List of the counties with the lowest monthly mortgage payment of Q2 2021:

1. Todd County, South Dakota: $110
2. Malette County, South Dakota: $135
3. McDowell County, West Virginia: $143
4. Kent County, Texas: $150
5. King County, Texas: $158

List of the counties with the highest median home price of Q2 2021:

1. New York County, New York: $1,227,108
2. Nantucket County, Massachusetts: $1,218,781
3. San Mateo County, California: $1,195,275
4. Santa Clara County, California: $1,187,214
5. San Francisco County, California: $1,179,676

List of the counties with the lowest median home price of Q2 2021:

1. Todd County, South Dakota: $28,896
2. Malette County, South Dakota: $35,675
3. McDowell County, West Virginia: $37,684
4. Kent County, Texas: $39,652
5. King County, Texas: $41,578

References

[1] McMullen, Troy. “Why Homes on Nantucket, Massachusetts, Are Reeling in the Rich.” Subscribe to Read | Financial Times, Financial Times, 14 Oct. 2016, https://www.ft.com/content/adc0dc92-8ba9-11e6-8cb7-e7ada1d123b1.

[2] “Nantucket, MA.” Data USA, https://datausa.io/profile/geo/nantucket-ma/#economy.

[3] “How Much Does a House on Nantucket Cost?” Fisher Real Estate Nantucket, 28 Nov. 2022, https://fishernantucket.com/how-much-does-a-house-in-nantucket-cost/.

[4] Mirror, The Inquirer and. “Conservation Foundation Launches Summer Wellness Series.” Inquirer and Mirror, Inquirer and Mirror, 18 June 2021, https://www.ack.net/stories/conservation-foundation-launches-summer-wellness-series,24821.

[5] “Mining Royalties in Eureka and Lander Could Solve Rural Problems.” The Nevada Independent, 24 Aug. 2021, https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/mining-royalties-in-elko-and-lander-could-solve-rural-problems.

[6] NV Energy, https://www.nvenergy.com/about-nvenergy/economic-development/counties/eureka.

[7] “Eureka County, NV.” Data USA, https://datausa.io/profile/geo/eureka-county-nv.

[8] “Upton County.” TSHA, https://www.tshaonline.org/handbook/entries/upton-county.

[9] “Estimate of Median Household Income for Upton County, TX.” FRED, 21 Dec. 2022, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MHITX48461A052NCEN.

[10] PBRPC Programs - Economic Development - Upton County Profile. http://www.pbrpc.org/economic_development_county_upton.php.

Protocols
Data sets
Permanently stored in the library at arweave.org
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